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Aggregating knowledge

J Charles Germain, president, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America RoweCom Inc


  • Think of all of the information you should read in order to stay current in your field.
  • What percent do you actually read?
  • Give me a number

Who are you?

  • Knowledge creators
  • Knowledge users
  • Infomediaries - in between

The plan for today

  • The New Knowledge World
  • RoweCom's Response
  • Challenges Ahead
  • Conversation

The New Knowledge World
Beliefs

  • The internet is merely the second of three digital revolutions:
  • Computers    Communications    Convenience
  • These digital revolutions are disruptive of virtually all aspects of society. They are rapidly changing the way we buy, sell, learn, earn a living and play. Much of this causes fear and pain.
  • There is an explosion in both the sources and uses of knowledge, with an increasing number of knowledge users becoming knowledge providers.
  • We are experiencing a global transfer of value and power from knowledge providers to knowledge users that will cause many revered institutions to collapse and many upstarts to appear.

More beliefs

  • Digital convenience will dramatically accelerate the rate of global change in five to ten years.
  • Access to usable knowledge will be the primary driver of successful enterprises in the 21st century as work moves from primarily manual to primarily mental
  • Work is shifting from manual to mental. The imlications of this shift are profound
  • The functions of librarians are becoming more important at the same time the form of libraries is changing.
  • The future is conversations.

The future

  • E-commerce will dominate the global economy within a decade because:
  • Faster    More reliable    Cheaper
  • Knowledge content itself will be ubiquitous and inexpensive, often "free"
  • Most people are overwhelmed by the mass of content that exists and feel guilty about not knowing enough. This is a rapidly expanding global epidemic
  • Value-added services around content that simplify and personalize the knowledge world will thrive
  • New public policies are urgently needed to guide these technical and social changes underway in directions that promote a healthy and prosperous global society.

Commerce and content
eCommerce
Pluses:

  • Faster
  • More accurate
  • Global
  • Manageable
  • Inexpensive
  • Available

Minuses:

  • Payment systems underdeveloped

eContent
Pluses:

  • Faster
  • Interactive
  • Customizable

Minuses:

  • Poor user-interface
  • Requires change in behaviors
  • Technology in early stages

Examples of change

  • AOL users averaged six minutes a day in 1996 and one hour in 2000.
  • In 1999 magazine readers in the U.S. spent more time online than reading magazines.
  • An e-commerce transaction costs between 1-2% of a comparable paper transaction.
  • Many major institutions are shifting their purchasing dramatically from paper to online publications, some with a goal of 100% online within three years or less.

All of this change despite:

  • Inconvenient and slow user interfaces
  • Few functional enhancements over paper
  • Chaotic systems for knowledge
  • Creation
  • Distribution
  • Pricing
  • Control

The convenience revolution

  • Personalised
  • Interactive
  • Voice, text and video
  • Wireless, wearable
  • Ubiquitous
  • Comprehensive
  • Real-time
  • Global

Portable technology electronic paper

  • E Ink
  • Paper-like look and feel
  • Electrochemical process
  • Paper-like tabloid displays by 2002
  • Black and White only

Knowledge platform evolution
What do our clients want and need so they can work smarter:

  • Fast
  • Everywhere
  • Comprehensive
  • Personalized
  • Interactive
  • Community-based
  • Trusted

RoweCom's response
RoweCom market model
RoweCom's knowledge store
Over 17 000 clients
Benefits

  • Convenience for knowledge worker
  • Control for institution
  • Cost savings

Challenges ahead
Librarians and libraries

  • Crucial distinction between function and form
  • Functions of librarians becoming more important - century of the mind
  • Forms are changing dramatically with much more change ahead

10 crucial functions of librarians

  • Conversation manager
  • Market researcher
  • Knowledge taxonomist
  • Community developer
  • Entrepreneurial publisher
  • Network coordinator
  • Content archivist
  • Museum director
  • Intellectual property controller
  • Knowledge therapist

Challenges for publishers

  • Digital economics a challenge for all publishers
  • Consumer
  • Falling circulation - less time to read paper; more time on net
  • Specialization - fragmentation of markets
  • "Everything free"
  • Business and Trade
  • Many went to controlled circulation (ad-based)
  • Just as advertisers were heading to the Web
  • Many fewer advertisers for paper versions
  • STM
  • Challenges from e-Print and Preprint Servers
  • Intellectual communities as online referees,
  • Expert review; user reviews and comments
  • Economics of the shift to digital publications uncertain
  • Economics of Knowledge
  • Non-commercial sources of revenue
  • Endowment
  • Taxes
  • Gifts
  • Commercial sources of revenue
  • Subscriptions
  • Pay per view
  • Advertising
  • Sales commissions on transactions

Public policy challenges

  • What new metrics are needed to measure the impact of knowledge upon the economy?
  • What knowledge should be public (unfettered)
  • Government records
  • Basic scientific databases
  • Basic life-giving information
  • What knowledge should be private
  • Personal medical records
  • Personal correspondence (email)
  • What kinds of intellectual property should be commercialized in the digital age?
  • Should there be a Universal Declaration of the Rights to Know?

Wrap-up

  • Advanced e-resources are challenging the roles of publishers, librarians and agents
  • Future technologies will enable ubiquitous access to information
  • Digital rights management of some sort will be key to the expansion of knowledge
  • Personal libraries will be preferred method of knowledge management
  • The roles of those librarians who make the changes will be greatly enhanced.
  • The technological imperative will thrive.
  • Public policies are urgently needed to ensure effective and just access to knowledge combined with appropriate management of information rights.

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29 November 2000 comments | privacy | copyright
http://archive.alia.org.au/sigs/assig/serials.2005/germain.html